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today's top pick·jun 4, 2026
live

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

NOWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

market62%
beeks45%
edge-17
7d · market price$0.34 → $0.41

Canada province referendum probability driven by Alberta secession movement amid US-Canada trade tensions. The -8.5% one-day price drop signals bearish new information. Constitutional barriers and lack of formal referendum mechanism temper base rate substantially below market price.

today, 7:30am ETbeeks index 45
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MarketPrice24h ΔVolumeStatus
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?$0.62+2.4%$2.1M
Will Bitcoin set a new all-time high this quarter?$0.38−1.1%$1.4M
Will the S&P 500 close higher this month?$0.54+3.7%$3.8M
Will the next SpaceX orbital launch hit its target window?$0.71+0.8%$842K
Will a frontier AI lab release a new model this quarter?$0.29−4.2%$1.1M
Will the incumbent win the next major election cycle?$0.48+1.2%$623K
1,247 markets scanned68% · ETA 38s
today's picks·7:30am ET·JUN 4, 2026
today's top pick·1 of 5
live

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

NOWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

market62%
beeks44.55%
edge+-17.45
7d · market price$0.34 → $0.41

Canada province referendum probability driven by Alberta secession movement amid US-Canada trade tensions. The -8.5% one-day price drop signals bearish new information. Constitutional barriers and lack of formal referendum mechanism temper base rate substantially below market price.

beeks index 45
02

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

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03

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

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04

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

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05

US military action against Cuba by...?

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beeks index·last 14 days

We post every score we ship and never edit them after.

The Beeks Index is the edge. Each receipt shows our number minus the market's.

Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 11 2026
POLITICS

Trump wins 2028 GOP nomination

CallYES Trump
Edge+20 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 10 2026
POLITICS

Senate confirms new SCOTUS nominee Q2

CallNO No-conf
Edge+13 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 9 2026
RATES

Powell signals 2 more cuts in 2026

CallNO No-signal
Edge+24 pts
ResolvedYES
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 8 2026
CRYPTO

Spot ETH ETF approval before June 30

CallYES Approve
Edge+17 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 7 2026
EQUITIES

Tesla delivers >500k vehicles in Q2

CallNO Below
Edge+10 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 6 2026
MACRO

Non-farm payrolls beat 170k in May

CallYES Beat
Edge+21 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 5 2026
AI

GPT-6 announced before Q4 2026

CallNO No-launch
Edge+14 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 4 2026
MACRO

SpaceX Starship completes IFT-12 before July

CallYES Complete
Edge+7 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 3 2026
RATES

Mortgage rates fall below 6.4% this week

CallNO Above
Edge+18 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 2 2026
MACRO

Eurozone PMI tops 51 in May flash

CallYES Above
Edge+11 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 1 2026
POLITICS

France calls confidence vote in June

CallNO No-vote
Edge+22 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 30 2026
MACRO

Germany IFO above 88 in June

CallNO Below
Edge+15 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 29 2026
POLITICS

Argentina holds primary vote before July

CallYES Hold
Edge+8 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 28 2026
MACRO

OECD upgrades 2026 growth forecast

CallYES Upgrade
Edge+19 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 11 2026
POLITICS

Trump wins 2028 GOP nomination

CallYES Trump
Edge+20 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 10 2026
POLITICS

Senate confirms new SCOTUS nominee Q2

CallNO No-conf
Edge+13 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 9 2026
RATES

Powell signals 2 more cuts in 2026

CallNO No-signal
Edge+24 pts
ResolvedYES
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 8 2026
CRYPTO

Spot ETH ETF approval before June 30

CallYES Approve
Edge+17 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 7 2026
EQUITIES

Tesla delivers >500k vehicles in Q2

CallNO Below
Edge+10 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 6 2026
MACRO

Non-farm payrolls beat 170k in May

CallYES Beat
Edge+21 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 5 2026
AI

GPT-6 announced before Q4 2026

CallNO No-launch
Edge+14 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 4 2026
MACRO

SpaceX Starship completes IFT-12 before July

CallYES Complete
Edge+7 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 3 2026
RATES

Mortgage rates fall below 6.4% this week

CallNO Above
Edge+18 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 2 2026
MACRO

Eurozone PMI tops 51 in May flash

CallYES Above
Edge+11 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
MAY 1 2026
POLITICS

France calls confidence vote in June

CallNO No-vote
Edge+22 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 30 2026
MACRO

Germany IFO above 88 in June

CallNO Below
Edge+15 pts
ResolvedNO
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 29 2026
POLITICS

Argentina holds primary vote before July

CallYES Hold
Edge+8 pts
ResolvedYES
CORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Beeks · Pick Receipt
APR 28 2026
MACRO

OECD upgrades 2026 growth forecast

CallYES Upgrade
Edge+19 pts
ResolvedNO
INCORRECT
Published · Locked · On the record
Wins and misses both·Nothing edited·Nothing removed