Market Analysis & Research

Prediction markets give Janez Janša a 92% chance of becoming Slovenia's next PM after coalition talks with smaller parties secured a projected 48-seat majority in the National Assembly.

Polymarket traders price just a 9% chance of a WHO-declared hantavirus pandemic in 2026, despite a high-profile cruise ship outbreak and CDC Level 3 emergency classification.

QatarEnergy has restarted two of three trains at its flagship LNG facility, but full production hinges on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. Here's what traders need to know.

Bitcoin sits nearly 37% below its all-time high of $126,021, but prediction markets still see a meaningful chance of a new peak by December 2026. We break down the probabilities, the catalysts, and what traders are betting on.

Polymarket's measles case count market has attracted $7.6M in volume as traders weigh whether declining vaccination rates and summer travel will push U.S. cases past historic thresholds.

With the series shifting to Orlando for Game 3, projection models are flagging high-value player props — from Cunningham's scoring to Suggs' 3-point breakout potential.

Prediction markets are pricing a roughly 20% probability that the Iranian regime falls before 2027. The number reflects real structural stress, but the market also embeds a critical assumption: the IRGC holds.

Polymarket traders give Flávio Bolsonaro a 65% chance of finishing second in Brazil's first-round presidential vote, reflecting a consolidated right-wing field and a fragmented opposition.

Péter Magyar's Tisza party swept Hungary's April 12 election with a constitutional supermajority, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year run. Prediction markets saw it coming.

Prediction markets price Chong Won-oh at 89% to win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election on June 3, with $23M traded on Polymarket as housing and infrastructure dominate voter concerns.

The 2025-26 Europa League has reached its knockout rounds. Here's how prediction markets are pricing the remaining contenders and what traders should watch for.

Prediction markets have priced the Iranian regime's fall at nearly 50% by end of 2026. We break down what's driving these odds and what traders should understand.

Prediction markets are actively pricing the race for Israel's next Prime Minister. Here's how traders are evaluating Netanyahu's hold on power and the challengers looking to unseat him.

Finland's 'Liekinheitin' holds a commanding 30-40% implied probability across Polymarket, Kalshi, and 15 bookmakers, with France and Denmark trailing at roughly 10% each.

Prediction markets show no candidate above 25% for France's 2027 presidential race, with Édouard Philippe and Jordan Bardella locked in a tight contest shaped by France's two-round system.

Prediction markets for the UEFA Champions League offer unique insights into how the crowd values elite European football clubs. Here's how to read the signals.

Prediction markets are actively trading on Brazil's 2026 presidential election. Here's what the odds reveal about Lula's re-election chances and who might challenge him.

Explore the prediction market pondering the Second Coming before 2027, analyzing trading behavior, consensus resolution, and market credibility.

Vietnam has cycled through multiple presidents in recent years amid sweeping anti-corruption purges. Prediction markets are now pricing in who will hold the presidency heading into the pivotal 2026 Party Congress.

The Masters at Augusta National draws massive prediction market interest. Here's how traders evaluate contenders and find value in golf's most prestigious event.

Dive into the emerging trends and strategies as prediction markets forecast the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.

Explore how prediction markets are gauging Ethereum's price movements for February, using data-driven insights and strategies.

Explore how prediction markets engage with the audacious question of Jesus Christ's return and the implications for traders.

Prediction markets reveal rising odds of a U.S.-Greenland deal during Trump's term, with $17M at play.

Dive into the leading contenders for the 2025-26 NBA MVP award, using data-driven insights to guide your prediction market strategies.

Dive into the odds and predictions for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner with analysis from prediction markets.

Dive into the prediction markets for insights on the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. Who are the frontrunners and what are traders betting on?

Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair could herald significant shifts for Wall Street.

The 2026 NBA Champion prediction market sees the Oklahoma City Thunder with a commanding 34% chance, driven by strong performances and MVP talks.

Dive into the world of prediction markets to see who is favored to win the 2026 NBA Championship and how you can profit from your predictions.

Prediction markets suggest a 57% chance of a U.S. strike on Iran by March 2026, as geopolitical tensions escalate.

Explore the intriguing dynamics of predicting Elon Musk’s tweets from February 16-18, 2026, in a prediction market. Learn how to leverage data and strategies for better trading outcomes.

A data-driven look at the prediction market signals, the final four candidates, and what Kevin Warsh's nomination means for the U.S. economy

As the financial realm buzzes with speculation, prediction markets assess the likelihood of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stepping down by 2025.