Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
US military has been in active combat with Iran for 6+ weeks per news reports
Defense Secretary Hegseth confirmed US military is "hanging around" in Iran after "decisive victory"
The April 30 contract already hit 100% and is "In Review" for resolution, confirming entry occurred
Bears Say
A ceasefire was announced, raising questions about resolution criteria for "entering" Iran
Market description contradicts news, suggesting possible data/context mismatch in resolution
If ceasefire holds, formal ground troop presence may be disputed by resolvers