Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
The February 28, 2026 US-Israeli strike on Iran is confirmed, resolving all 'by' contracts through year-end at YES
News sources confirm $500M+ in prediction market payouts triggered by the verified strike event
The March 31 contract at 100% reflects a done deal — the strike already occurred before this deadline
Bears Say
Price has declined 5% in 24h and 4% over the week, suggesting possible contract technicality or resolution dispute
Zero liquidity and volume indicate the market is effectively closed, not actively confirming the outcome
Insider trading scrutiny around these contracts raises questions about market integrity and proper resolution