Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Price jumped +9% over 7 days, showing strong momentum toward ouster as political pressure intensifies
At 44% YES, market reflects nearly coin-flip odds that Netanyahu exits before year-end amid coalition fragility
Hungary's new PM threatening arrest if Netanyahu visits signals growing international isolation accelerating domestic pressure
Bears Say
Netanyahu has survived multiple coalition crises and war-cabinet defections without resigning since Oct 2023
The 'June 30' contract trades at only 5.5% YES, suggesting the market sees exit as unlikely in the near term
Tel Aviv protests labeled 'Bibi Escobar' remain large but have not translated into actual coalition collapse votes
Recent News
Tel Aviv protests demand Netanyahu resignation amid ...
Netanyahu trial resumes amid speculation on political future
Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
Netanyahu out by...? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026
Market Description
This market tracks whether Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu will leave office by December 31, 2026. Currently at 44% YES after a 9% weekly jump, reflecting growing political pressure from protests, coali…