Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
All major prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase) show Warsh at 100%
Trump announcement is described as imminent, with Warsh as the clear frontrunner
$59.9M in volume on Polymarket confirms overwhelming market consensus
Bears Say
At 100%, any surprise late-stage pivot by Trump would collapse this to zero
Formal Senate nomination hasn't yet occurred, leaving a slim procedural window
Trump has historically made last-minute personnel decisions that defied expectations