Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Sharp 1-week decline of 22.5% may be oversold if talks accelerate unexpectedly
At 7¢, minimal capital needed for outsized return if diplomacy moves fast
Low liquidity means any positive signal could spike price rapidly
Bears Say
Price has fallen 22.5% in a week, signaling strong market consensus against April 21
No supporting news exists to justify a ceasefire announcement this soon
At 94¢ NO, the market is near-certain this specific date will not occur
Recent News
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?
polymarket.com•Apr 8, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...? Predictions & Odds 2026
polymarket.com
When will the Iran war end? Will the Strait of Hormuz return ...
facebook.com
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end Final Odds, Tomorrow ...
predictioncircle.com
Market Description
This market asks whether Trump will announce a US-Iran ceasefire ending by a specific date. Currently at 0% probability, the market reflects near-zero expectation of such an announcement, given ongoin…