Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
33¢ YES price surged +17.8% in 24h, signaling strong new conviction
100-119 tweets/week is a moderate range, fitting Musk's typical activity
High liquidity ($1M) suggests informed traders are backing this band
Bears Say
Zero 24h volume despite price jump suggests thin, unreliable signal
Musk's tweet volume is erratic; he frequently exceeds 120+ tweets in active weeks
No news or data anchors this specific range over competing outcomes
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Market Description
This market tracks whether Elon Musk will reach a specific high tweet threshold between May 8-15, 2026. At just 4% probability, the market strongly suggests he is unlikely to hit the target volume. Mu…