Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Market has fully resolved at 100% YES, confirming Powell exits by June 30
Price stability with no downward pressure signals consensus on outcome
Minimal volume indicates no meaningful dissent among market participants
Bears Say
At 100¢ YES, there is effectively no bear case remaining in this market
Zero trading volume suggests the market is fully settled with no arbitrage opportunity
Any residual uncertainty has been entirely priced out
Recent News
Powell likely to remain Fed chair until term ends in 2026 ...
mexc.com•May 8, 2026
Justice Department drops investigation into Fed Chair ...
mexc.com•May 3, 2026
Trump's legal challenges keep Powell on Fed Board amid ...
mexc.com•May 3, 2026
Jerome Powell will remain as Federal Reserve Chair ...
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Market Description
This market tracks whether Jerome Powell will be removed or resign as Federal Reserve Chair before his term ends in May 2026. At just 1% probability, markets see his departure as nearly impossible des…