Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
YES price surged 45.5% in one week, reflecting strong market conviction
At 94¢, the market has already priced near-certainty for May 13
High 24h volume of $0.2M signals informed traders are piling in
Bears Say
No corroborating news articles confirm the May 13 visit date
Diplomatic schedules are volatile and last-minute changes are common
Thin liquidity ($0.6M) means a small number of traders drove the price spike
Recent News
Fact Check: Was the Trump shooter "a Chinese man"?
polymarket.com
White House Deputy Press Secretary Kelly says more good ...
infohound.ai•May 11, 2026
Will Trump visit China on...? - May 18 - Predictop
predictop.com•May 4, 2026
Next Week's Key Schedule: Global Focus on China and ...
news.futunn.com•May 9, 2026
Market Description
This market asks whether Trump will visit China on a specific date or timeframe. Currently at 0% probability, the market reflects near-zero expectation of such a visit occurring, amid ongoing US-China…