Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
YES is priced at 100%, reflecting market consensus this has already resolved
Massive liquidity ($2.2M) and volume ($3.8M) confirm strong conviction
Price surged +60.9% in 24h, signaling a confirmed resolution event
Bears Say
At 100% YES, there is virtually no bear case remaining in this market
Any residual NO position is likely a rounding error or liquidity artifact
No contradicting news or signals exist to challenge the resolved outcome
Recent News
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
polymarkettrade.app•Apr 27, 2026
Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire extension odds bounce 9pp ...
global-political-spotlight.com•Apr 27, 2026
The contract looked simple. The reality was a scam run by ...
ainvest.com•Apr 27, 2026
Ceasefire Predictions & Real-Time Odds
polymarket.com
Market Description
This market tracks whether the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire will be extended beyond its current terms. Currently trading at 0% YES, suggesting the market sees no likelihood of an extension, implying eit…