Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Price has dropped 11% in a week, suggesting market sees June 30 as still plausible at 23%
Ceasefire agreements are historically fragile and prone to collapse within months
June 30 deadline aligns with common 90-day negotiation cycle pressure points
Bears Say
Strong downward price trend (-11% weekly) signals market confidence is fading fast
No supporting news or catalysts to indicate imminent ceasefire breakdown by June 30
At 78¢ NO, the market firmly rejects this specific timing as the cancellation date
Recent News
Market Description
This market appears to track whether the Israel-Hamas ceasefire will be cancelled by a specific party or condition. Currently at 0% YES, the market suggests near-certainty that the ceasefire remains i…