Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Market is at 100% certainty, reflecting resolved outcome
$8.1M liquidity and $6.0M 24h volume confirm strong consensus
34.9% weekly price surge indicates decisive resolution event occurred
Bears Say
At 100¢ YES, there is zero remaining upside for new buyers
Any ambiguity in resolution criteria could trigger a dispute
Thin spread signals no active disagreement, but edge cases remain possible
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Market Description
This market tracks whether military action against Iran will conclude by a specified deadline. Currently at 0% YES, the market reflects near-certainty that no such conflict will end by the target date…