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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say

Weekly price surge of +7.0% signals strong momentum toward zero cuts

At 39¢, market is pricing near-coin-flip odds for no cuts, reflecting genuine uncertainty

High liquidity ($1.5M) with rising price suggests informed money backing this outcome

Bears Say

Historical Fed behavior favors at least one cut when facing economic slowdown

61% NO probability reflects majority market consensus against zero cuts in 2026

Near-zero 24h volume suggests price stagnation, not conviction behind the recent weekly move