Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Correlated 'Trump out by June 30' market at 0.88 coefficient trades at overlapping odds, validating meaningful YES probability
Ongoing legal pressures and historic viral social media reaction to this market signals broad public attention to exit scenarios
PredictionHunt shows 4.8% cross-platform spread, suggesting some aggregators assign higher probability than Polymarket
Bears Say
Market dropped 1¢ in both the last 24h and last week — bearish momentum heading toward NO
At 15.5%, the market overwhelmingly expects Trump to complete his term; no concrete removal mechanism is imminent
'Nothing Ever Happens: 2026' hedge market correlates negatively (-0.5), reinforcing that dramatic mid-term exits rarely materialize
Recent News
Market Description
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will exit the presidency before 2027, through resignation, removal, incapacitation, or other means. Currently at 15.5% YES, the market assigns low but non-trivi…