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Polymarket
Geopolitics
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
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Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Pakistan has historically served as a back-channel mediator between the US and Iran
Pakistan's geographic and diplomatic proximity to Iran makes it a logical neutral venue
At 56% probability, market consensus still favors Pakistan as the leading candidate
Bears Say
Price has declined 5.2% in 24 hours, signaling eroding confidence in this outcome
No supporting news or confirmed diplomatic signals back the Pakistan venue
Low 24h volume suggests weak conviction among traders currently holding YES
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Market Description
This market predicts the location of the next formal US-Iran diplomatic meeting amid ongoing nuclear tensions. Currently at 37% YES, reflecting uncertainty over whether talks will materialize and wher…