Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Trade war tariffs from the US are actively squeezing Canadian exports and growth
Housing market correction and high household debt amplify recession risk
Price trending down 4% weekly signals fading confidence in the Canadian economy
Bears Say
At 37¢, markets assign majority odds against a recession before 2027
Bank of Canada retains rate-cutting capacity to stimulate the economy
Canada has avoided recession despite prior tariff threats and slowdowns
Recent News
Market Description
This market asks whether Canada will enter a recession before 2027. Currently at 37% probability, traders are pricing in moderate risk amid trade tensions with the US, slowing growth, and housing pres…
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