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Polymarket
Macro

Fed rate cut by...?

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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say

Price surged +13.8% over the past week, signaling strong market conviction

At 68¢, majority of traders are pricing in an October cut as the base case

Momentum is building with a +1.3% gain in the last 24 hours alone

Bears Say

Zero 24h volume suggests thin liquidity and unreliable price discovery

Wide 0.160 spread indicates high uncertainty and low market confidence

No supporting news flow to justify the strong weekly price surge

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