Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
At 94% probability, market consensus strongly favors this outcome resolving YES
No competing outcomes or news are challenging this near-certain resolution
Price stability with zero movement signals no credible threat to this outcome
Bears Say
Low liquidity ($0.1M) means thin market may not reflect true informed consensus
Zero 24h volume suggests stale pricing with no active price discovery
A 7¢ NO price still implies non-trivial tail risk of a missed deadline
Recent News
Market Description
This market tracks whether SpaceX will complete an IPO by a specified deadline. Currently at 0% probability, the market reflects SpaceX's consistent stance of remaining private, with Elon Musk repeate…
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