Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
SpaceX's ~$350B private valuation makes $1.5-2T a plausible IPO premium target
Starlink's accelerating subscriber growth justifies a premium multiple at IPO
39¢ YES price reflects meaningful market consensus for this range as most likely outcome
Bears Say
Price is down 6.5% this week, signaling fading confidence in this valuation band
No IPO date or filing announced, making precise valuation range speculation premature
Higher or lower brackets may absorb probability as market conditions shift
Recent News
Market Description
This market tracks whether SpaceX will achieve a specific closing market cap at IPO. At just 4% YES, the market reflects deep uncertainty around SpaceX going public, as Elon Musk has repeatedly signal…
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