Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
At 95¢, market consensus strongly prices SpaceX IPO above $1T as near-certain
SpaceX's dominance in launch services and Starlink's growth support a $1T+ valuation
Private market valuations already place SpaceX well above the $1T threshold
Bears Say
No IPO date confirmed, making any closing market cap speculative
Thin liquidity ($0.2M) and zero 24h volume suggest low conviction in current pricing
Macro headwinds or delayed IPO timeline could suppress public market valuation below $1T
Recent News
Market Description
This market tracks the closing market cap of SpaceX at its IPO, focusing on the lowest strike price tiers. Currently at 0% probability, the market reflects near-zero confidence that SpaceX will IPO at…
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