Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Crypto hacks exceeding $100M have occurred multiple times per year historically
Price surged +7.5% in 24h and +7% weekly, signaling strong market conviction
With months remaining in 2024, the base rate for large exploits is very high
Bears Say
Improved security audits and institutional safeguards have reduced exploit frequency
No specific imminent threat identified in recent news to anchor the probability
Low liquidity ($0M volume) means the 74¢ price may not reflect informed trading
Recent News
Market Description
This market asks whether a single cryptocurrency hack exceeding $100M will occur before December 31, 2025. At 74% probability, the market reflects the persistent vulnerability of crypto platforms, giv…
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