Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Zelenskyy's wartime leadership has received historic levels of international admiration
A Ukraine ceasefire deal could make him the obvious peace prize nominee
Ukrainian resilience and democratic resistance have been cited by Nobel Committee-friendly sources
Bears Say
Nobel Peace Prize typically rewards concluded peace not ongoing conflict leadership
The Nobel Committee historically delays awards until conflicts are clearly resolved
At 10%, the market prices Zelenskyy as the most likely individual winner but still only a long shot
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Market Description
This multi-outcome market tracks who will win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Zelenskyy and Navalnaya are tied at 10%, with Trump at 8%. The even distribution reflects deep uncertainty about the Nobel Com…