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Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say

YES is priced at 100¢, reflecting near-certain market consensus on this outcome

Price has trended upward +3.3% over the past week, reinforcing conviction

Liberals secured a parliamentary majority in the 2025 Canadian federal election

Bears Say

Zero liquidity and volume suggest no active price discovery or real money at risk

A 100¢ price leaves no margin for unexpected parliamentary disruptions

Absence of news coverage makes independent verification of the outcome impossible

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