Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Perfect games have occurred in bunches historically, with 3 thrown between 2010-2012
Modern pitching increasingly favors strikeout-heavy arms capable of dominant outings
At 22% implied probability, market may be underweighting a full 162-game season of chances
Bears Say
Perfect games are historically rare, averaging fewer than one per season across MLB history
No specific pitching matchups or dominant starters have been flagged as likely candidates
Low liquidity and volume suggest thin market conviction, with NO holding a commanding 79¢ price
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Market Description
This market asks whether any MLB pitcher will throw a perfect game during the 2026 season. At 22% probability, the odds reflect the extreme rarity of perfect games—only 24 have occurred in MLB history…
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