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QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
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Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Market is priced at 100% certainty, reflecting resolved outcome
$9.3M liquidity and +96.4% weekly surge confirm event has occurred
Near-zero spread signals full market consensus on YES resolution
Bears Say
At 100¢ YES, there is no remaining upside for new bulls
Any ambiguity in contract wording could trigger a dispute
Zero NO price leaves no room for error if resolution is contested
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Market Description
This market tracks whether QatarEnergy will announce or resume LNG production in Qatar by April 30. Trading at 100% YES, the market reflects near-certainty that this has already occurred or is confirm…