Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
No confirmed summit date or venue has been announced despite months of diplomacy
Ukraine ceasefire has not materialized, removing the primary trigger for a Putin-Trump summit
+7% weekly momentum confirms growing trader conviction that no meeting occurs by June 30
Bears Say
Trump has shown ability to arrange surprise meetings on very short notice
Ceasefire progress could rapidly accelerate a June summit announcement
Back-channel communications between Trump and Putin are reportedly ongoing
Recent News
Market Description
This multi-outcome market tracks where Trump and Putin will next meet. The dominant outcome at 83% is 'No meeting by June 30,' reflecting no confirmed summit plans. China at 7% and the United States a…