Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
As sitting VP, Vance holds the strongest name recognition among 2028 GOP contenders
Market has him tied with Newsom at 17%, reflecting a genuinely competitive multi-candidate field
High Republican nominee correlation (0.6) means securing the GOP nod would rapidly reprice his odds
Bears Say
At 18¢, the market prices him as just one of many viable candidates with no clear frontrunner advantage
Price trend is slightly negative (-0.4% weekly), signaling fading momentum in a crowded field
No incumbent running means the race is wide open, diluting any single candidate's probability