Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Netanyahu remains the incumbent PM and frontrunner at 39%; correlated 'Netanyahu out by...?' market at 0.85 signals continuity
No single challenger has surpassed his market share; fragmented opposition (Bennett 35%, Eizenkot 19%) helps Netanyahu
Despite Gaza conflict, Netanyahu has historically survived coalition crises and maintains Likud base strength
Bears Say
Price dropped 2.5¢ in 24h and 3.5¢ in a week — strong negative momentum signaling market losing confidence
Naftali Bennett is closing fast at 35%, only 4 points behind, showing serious challenger momentum
Gaza conflict and ongoing ICC proceedings create structural downside risk for Netanyahu's electoral viability
Recent News
Market Description
This market tracks who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Gavin Newsom leads at 26.2% YES, well ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.3% and Kamala Harris at 7.8%, with the primary…